Transparency Is OurCore Value
Every prediction we make is tracked. Every result is validated. Here's our full accuracy record — updated automatically, no cherry-picking.
How We Measure Accuracy
Overall Accuracy
The percentage of all completed predictions that matched the actual match outcome (home win, draw, or away win). Calculated across every league and liability tier over the last 30 days. This is our broadest accuracy metric.
Top 10 Accuracy
The accuracy of only our highest-confidence picks — the top 10 predictions sorted by confidence score (max_prob). This metric shows how reliable the model is when it's most certain, and is the best indicator of actionable prediction quality.
30-Day Window
All metrics are calculated on a rolling 30-day window. This keeps the data recent and relevant, reflecting current model performance rather than accumulated historical averages that may mask recent changes.
Live Updates
Results are validated automatically as matches finish. Accuracy figures update daily — or faster when a batch of results comes in. You never need to refresh manually for stale numbers.
Accuracy by League
Last 30 days · Leagues with 5+ completed matches · Ranked by Top 10 accuracy
Performance by Confidence Tier
Accuracy generally increases as confidence rises. High-liability picks are our most reliable.
Highest model confidence. These picks historically land most often.
Solid confidence with some variance. Worth considering but carry more uncertainty.
Lower confidence predictions. Higher variance outcomes. Treat with extra scepticism.
Explore the full results archive
Browse weekly results, filter by league or confidence tier, and export data for your own analysis.